Races

Scott Embry’s Wednesday Bunbury Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

SHARPASSA has always trialled up well across multiple preparations dating right back to when she was a 2 year old. Jason Miller has taken his time with her and given the strength and sharpness (excuse the pun) of her latest set of Lark Hill trials expect she’ll take beating on debut. Just needs to get across and overcome a tricky alley early; that’s Pike’s job. DEEPEST DESIRE was winding up nicely in behind horses in his trial back in November. Interesting that he hasn’t been seen in the 6 weeks since though. DREAMLORD has improved with each trial in typical Michael Lane fashion. MISS FINKMEYER wasn’t disgraced in a 3 year old Saturday.

Numbers: 10 – 3 – 4 – 5

Suggested Bet – SHARPASSA WIN

RACE 2 

MAI ALOHA trialled like she was back to her best. After her three year old preparation she had two runs over winter and if you’re prepared to suggest that she didn’t really handle or appreciate the rain affected surfaces then both runs are complete forgives and you judge her off prior campaigns. Should be given every possible chance from the draw and this isn’t a strong line-up. MAGIC BELLE is as honest and competitive as they come. She’ll jump out positive, put herself into a position and keep kicking late. QUEEN OF HAWKS bounced back at Narrogin after a lacklustre return at Geraldton. MANTUA is chopping and changing between 1000 and 1200 trying to find the right set up.

Numbers: 5 – 3 – 4 – 1

Suggested Bet – MAI ALOHA WIN

RACE 3

ELECTRIC BEC arguably should have beaten stablemate IRAYCHOUX when they met at Bunbury on 18 December and then won well in her own right at her very next start. She’s riding to 55kg but ran for Natika Riordan and this is a great chance to go back to back. WAR MATTERS has been a bit of a test of patience this campaign, showing glimpses behind Exquisite Taste in a 0MWLY 1800 back in October to placing in a C3 on Melb Cup Day and even most recently in a 66+ was beaten under 2L by Rock In Wonder. If he’s going to win a race this preparation it’s a C1. Now or never. IRAYCHOUX like his full brother really appreciated the extra distance. LEAD BY EXAMPLE is going along alright.

Numbers: 3 – 2 – 1 – 8

Suggested Bet – ELECTRIC BEC WIN

RACE 4

I’M ODETTE comes through a handy form reference race: Rock The Market (since a luckless third in a C1), Poblano (maiden winner by 3L) and beat home Bannered (since won a maiden and placed in a 3 year old 0MWLY). She was held up the majority of the home straight and looked to have something to offer and from her trials it was clear that she would also appreciate a bit more ground. Gets to 1400m second-up and looks capable of winding up over these. Stabelmate PARTAY looks the danger. Was beaten a 4L margin on debut and the winner of that race flopped (relative) at $1.80 on Saturday but the effort still had merit. HEAVENLY RAPTURE was thrown in the deep end first-up without a trial. COUSIN MORTIMER has covered plenty of ground first-up and second-up.

Numbers: 13 – 4 – 11 – 1

Suggested Bet – I’M ODETTE WIN

RACE 5

MUDDY WATERS won a C1 and C3 back to back for new trainer Dan O’Connor and since then has progressed to a 60+ Graduation when having excuses behind Westbound, dropped back into a C3 when wide throughout and still a bit held up in the home straight behind Our Mate Archie and then was admittedly disappointing on face value last start at Pinjarra but it was a day where they struggled to make much ground and Manjeri has at least won out of that race. Best barrier in a while and back out to 1600m. SHAMILIAN MISS fell in last start in a race that was weaker than this after enjoying every favour. Not convinced she’s quite as good as the market seems to think. FOREVER DREAMING put in her best run of the last 12 months behind Don’t Trust Judas (beating home Muddy Waters easily). ROUNDAOUT GLORY is closing in on a win and is more than capable at this level.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 5 – 3

Suggested Bet – MUDDY WATERS WIN

RACE 6

WHY SHE STAYED gave plenty of cheek after leading at Bunbury three back when ultimately cut down late by Conchetta’s Dream. At her next start she dropped back to 1000m and showed some versatility to win dominantly by over 1L before heading to a 3 year old 0MWLY and running into then undefeated Peters’ filly Like Clockwork. Was on the 3 day spin in that event and looked flat. Hopefully with a more traditionally spaced prep she can bounce straight back. This is weak. QUEEN ARIA likely sits on the second line of betting and is a miler. QUICK SILVER probably third line and he’s coming out of 46+ racing at Narrogin. FIREY PANZ was luckless last start behind Ripper Rupert but at 1 from 46 is impossible to trust.

Numbers: 7 – 3 – 4 – 10

Suggested Bet – WHY SHE STAYED WIN

RACE 7

MT SHIRATAKU put the writing on the wall first-up (understatement). He had 60.5kg, he had the outside barrier, he conceded them a big head start and he rattled home into fourth behind Hey Pino in a form race that has seen nearly every runner plunged at their next outing. The concerns here: 1) he looks odds on? ($1.50/$1.60?); 2) he’s staying at 1200m; and 3) if he goes back, are they able to make ground? Then on the flip side, don’t forget he won a race leading at 1200m at Pinjarra in May. Trust Team Williams and Pike to get it right – he’s the best horse in the race by a long way. SURF PATROL was uncompetitive fresh. Has trialled well either side, so maybe just an off day? JUST GIFTED steps out for the first time for Tim Crosby and should be a handy acquisition. RIVER ANGEL an improver back in trip.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 7 – 8

Suggested Bet – MT SHIRATAKU WIN

Quaddie (Race 4 – 7)

4,11,13

1,2,3,5

3,7

1

Market Market




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