Races

Scott Embry’s Saturday Ascot Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

SPIN THE KNIFE has to lump 60.5kg in the SWP conditions of this 3 year old Plate and yet still looks the one to beat. First-up, no trial, last seen in the 3 year old Classic when leading and absorbing huge amounts of pressure in the middle stages from Heavenly Waters and Flying Missile before kicking through underneath them turning for home to go down in the final stride to a flying Liwa. Prior to that carried 59.5kg to victory in this grade at Belmont Park and should prove too slick for his opposition. PIXIE CHIX has a big riding change with Paul Harvey jumping aboard. Has been flying this campaign and racing without luck. RIVER RUBICON was a hard trial to miss. Looks in for a breakout preparation. Derby type? VIA MONTE toyed with them fresh.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 7 – 6

Suggested Bet – SPIN THE KNIFE WIN

RACE 2

RED HOT GOODS is undefeated at trials and while he takes on some very sharp opposition as we start to warm up for Pinjarra Magic Millions Day on February 5th he looks capable of matching it with them. Very quick and importantly is drawn underneath key rival Street Parade. If Bradley Parnham can get him across without burning too much early petrol he looks capable of measuring up at an eachway quote. STREET PARADE probably has claims as early favourite for the feature event at Pinjarra. Could not have been more impressive on debut and Monday’s 400m jump out was unreal. SHEEZA BELTER showed a big turn of acceleration on debut. This is a lot harder and they will go a lot faster. Interesting to see if she can hold a midfield position. NO PEER looked good at trials and the rail is worth plenty for the unraced juveniles.

Numbers: 8 – 2 – 3 – 13

Suggested Bet – RED HOT GOODS EACHWAY

RACE 3

ALL IN RED was well commissioned at her return to racing when looming the winner in the home straight before being gobbled up by Snippy Miss. Gets 1.5kg weight swing on her here, race fitness improvement and an extra furlong. Looks like enjoying a similar run in transit and thinking she can run another honest eachway race. Not much between many of these Westspeed Platinum types. SPEEDBIRD was a dominant last start winner. Needs to reproduce at Ascot which is probably not her preferred surface or racing style, however, she’s in great form. SNIPPY MISS has been a great money spinner for connections. Never far from the winner and pinched another one in her 15th run of the campaign #tough. SPEEDY MISS gets the right run midfield.

Numbers: 5 – 1 – 3 – 2

Suggested Bet – ALL IN RED EACHWAY

RACE 4

BLACK CHIPS is in career best form as a 9 year old. Winner of two of his last three and most recently was put into the race at the 800 and sustained a run. In the end the only thing he achieved was to tow the favourite into the race and then was no match for Come Right Back in the concluding stages. The big turn around here is that Lucy Warwick sticks and for Come Right Back he loses William Pike. Even though he meets him worse at the weights the senior riders are worth plenty in staying races. Great eachway investment. COME RIGHT BACK is the class runner of the race but he’s not an easy horse to ride. Can run his race in patches and might find himself in front leading. CONQUERED ZONE is racing well and should enjoy a gun run. TRULY RELIABLE has staying ability.

Numbers: 3 – 1 – 7 – 6

Suggested Bet – BLACK CHIPS EACHWAY

RACE 5

PLATINUM BULLET was back to her devastating best last start when unleashing a huge run down the centre to storm to victory. This race has speed on speed with This’ll Testya, Ziebell and Olga Louisa likely to fight for an early position, with Mantelli and Plutocracy both searching for positions as well. CJP will settle the mare last in running and watch it unfold infront of him. If she can reproduce her last start turn of foot (L600 33.12) she should be too strong late. COMES A TIME joins the yard of Michael Grantham. He does a super job with tried types and Comes A Time has always shown the ability to match it in this grade. THIS’LL TESTYA gave serious cheek last start when burning turf through the middle stages. Would have been in front at the 100 last week. ZIEBELL got no luck in the Fitzpatrick Plate and never gave it away.

Numbers: 3 – 6 – 4 – 2

Suggested Bet – PLATINUM BULLET WIN

RACE 6

MISS VASARI was on trial last start out to 1400m and probably didn’t quite see it out. That race has turned into a wonderful form reference with Cheval De Vaga and Trade War running the quinella again last Saturday and Cristal Dane, Tri For Us, Ginger Baker and Crescent City all running places as well. Back to 1200m a tick and an ideal draw makes her hard to beat. JEDI MIND can be forgiven for one below par performance. His first-up and second-up runs behind the likes of Island Charm, Eeyore Wayz and Son Son were great. WEDNESDAY loomed into it last start and just couldn’t quite finish off as well. Needs cover. VANE TEMPEST is racing well. Hard mare to place with her rating.

Numbers: 4 – 2 – 12 – 1

Suggested Bet – MISS VASARI WIN

RACE 7

ZACKARIAH BEAU looks well placed back into this 60+ Graduation. Finished only 1.5K off Bogart, Fairy Fast (meets her 1kg better) and Bruce Almighty in a 66+ mile two starts ago and then raced in a 72+ last start behind Bruce Almighty when attacking the line with gusto. Reunites with Joey Azzopardi who has guided him to 3 of his 5 career victories and will go around double figures. Worth consideration at the price. OUR IDYLL is building towards another win. There’s tempo in this through Our Norman and Never Sober. Should get a great run. CLASSIC ROGUE was luckless last start. Has been in great form for a while. FAIRY FAST will need a serious steer from a shocking gate.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 4 – 3

Suggested Bet – ZACKARIAH BEAU EACHWAY

RACE 8

PROCONSENT and William Pike got absolutely no luck last start. Most people wouldn’t have given He’s A Parker a moment’s thought going into the race and then once the gates opened it was the only other horse that Proconsent backers were watching. Caused huge headaches in the early and middle stages and as a result Proconsent was forced to do it tough throughout. Thought he did a super job to still finish off into third. THE SPRUIKER was equally as unlucky in the same race when he was caught behind tiring horses as Lorentinio was off and rolling into the corner. Not an easy gate but Shaun McGruddy knows him inside out. LORENTINIO was kept out of traffic and out of trouble. Once he got rolling at the 600 it was game, set, match. LUKE’S GOLD wasn’t suited to breezing last start. Improver.

Numbers: 8 – 4 – 6 – 3

Suggested Bet – PROCONSENT WIN

RACE 9

CREATOR will be the second elect of the Gangemi white, red and green colours but think at the eachway quote he’s capable of playing a part in this. Strong all the way win two starts ago when able to dictate out in front and then last start was wide the trip from a horror gate. Big Screen made the form look good last Saturday when far from disgraced behind Billy Ain’t Silly and from the inside draw Rawiller can either lead or box seat. Should give a sight. BURNYA TO SURVIVE oozes class and X-Factor. Paul Harvey on, undefeated this campaign, he will have a lot of admirers and understandably so. Looks well and truly destined for bigger and better things. REIGN OF FIRE rates well for this and has been hitting the line well this campaign. SHE’S A SWEET DEEL is progressive and has a turn of foot.

Numbers: 2 – 7 – 4 – 10

Suggested Bet – CREATOR EACHWAY

Quaddie (Race 6 – 9)

1,2,4,12
1,2,3,4,5,7
4,6,8
2,4,7,10

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