Races

Scott Embry’s Friday Carnarvon Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

FAIR GRACE has a set of blinkers added for the first time in her career and steps out to 1400m. Expect that Chanel Cooper will safely find the front on a mare who has the speed to lead over 1000 so she’ll be able to find the top, dictate and most importantly stay out of trouble. Ray Malpass is coming off a 4-winner meeting and this is not a deep race. MONTY ZOOMER is a newcomer to the region and joins Graeme Hammarquist’s yard as a race fit horse who should be right in the mix here. ENORME is first-up over 1400m after being off the scene for 457 days. Trials nothing to go on but at least she’s from the right yard. BRAZILIAN BELLE wasn’t too bad last start.

Numbers: 5 – 1 – 8 – 7

Suggested Bet – FAIR GRACE WIN

RACE 2

HEARTFORD HOUSE has run two rippers since arriving in Carnarvon. Winner of a 56+ leading throughout over 1000 first-up and then ran into Bitovemu and Mir last start in a form race that should hold up later in the program. Expecting him to be ridden with aggression from barrier 3 to lead and from there it looks a great set up for him here. MRS KANGAROO has travelled some kilometres. Ran second at Ascot behind Masamune before heading to Carnarvon (raced in the abandoned race on 18 May), then to Roebourne on the 9th of June and now back to Carnarvon. Back to the 1000m could be key. PRIMATIVE is going along well for the new yard. COPPING POINTS a watch at big odds.

Numbers: 3 – 7 – 6 – 8

Suggested Bet – HEARTFORD HOUSE WIN

RACE 3 

MIR was terribly unlucky last start. He got held up in a lot of traffic and was only getting out once the race was over. Back to 1200m – tick, senior rider on – tick and while he has to lump 62kg he was a first-up winner with 63kg so really see no reason why he won’t be hard to beat here. Looks the reason Alan Kennedy is in Carnarvon on a Friday. BITOVEMU got under the guard last start. She had solid provincial/country form and was proven on dirt. Ray Malpass runners shouldn’t go round 25-1 regardless. TINYNTUFF is loving life on the dirt and with no weight she’ll be hard to beat again, even from barrier 1. MANTELLI took charge with the shades on. Like the fact they’ve come off.

Numbers: 1 – 5 – 7 – 2

Suggested Bet – MIR WIN

RACE 4

WESTERN IMPACT put in his best run of the campaign so far and now with Chanel Cooper going on he drops in weight and meets a lesser field. Hopefully he’s now found his feet on the dirt and if he reproduces the run behind stablemate Who’s Your Mama from a C3 then he should be very hard to beat here in a C1. GINGER JIVE, WAR TACTICS and DRANGONFLIES are all last start maiden winners who head into C1 company. Of that trio thinking that potentially WAR TACTICS has the most upside. Was powering away late.

Numbers: 5 – 4 – 3 – 7

Suggested Bet – WESTERN IMPACT WIN

RACE 5

PASSPORT was good last start in a 64+ behind Crystal Vain, Looking Great and Hafey. That trio would be extremely short in a race of this nature and likely fight out the finish of Race 6 so think that this is excellent placement to drop him back in grade, especially with the luxurious 3kg claim for Chanel Cooper. Likely to be near eachway as well which makes him attractive. WUHAN WARRIOR steps out to relatively unchartered waters at 1400m. No doubt it’s in an attempt to guarantee he has enough speed to find the fence because he’s just a different horse when he’s up against the paint. WHOS YOUR MAMA was back to her best last start. TOMMY TO JACK is flying and can sustain a run.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 3 – 6

Suggested Bet – PASSPORT WIN

RACE 6

HAFEY needs to turn the tables on Crystal Vain and Looking Great but thinking out to the mile he gets his opportunity to do so. Crystal Vain is now up to 62.5kg and has never raced beyond 1400m and just thinking that Hafey is the best suited of the Pateman pair stepping out to 1600m. CRYSTAL VAIN did win by over 4L and wasn’t exactly stopping late. In front for a long way and must be very much respected. LOOKING GREAT is rising 12 years old but he’s still at the peak of his powers. SET THE SCENE thrives on the dirt and races with only 53kg.

Numbers: 2 – 1 – 3 – 6

Suggested Bet – HAFEY WIN

Quaddie (Race 3 – 6)

1,5,7

1,3,4,5,7

1,2,3

1,2,3

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