Races

Scott Embry’s Saturday Broome Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

VIVA MARCONI looks to have found a race where he could work his way to the top and that would be a key element in him breaking through. He has had to follow the maiden programming so far: 1000 to 1300 to 1200 and now to an ideal 1435m. Fingers crossed he steps well enough for Tiana Murray to slide forward and at worst park outside leader. Should give a sight from there. HARD TO TOP slipped on jumping last start and that was race over for her. Prior runs behind Sempre and Finado are both good enough to win this. BONDI QUEEN has been alright since heading to the dirt, but the query is barrier 1 and the face full of kick back if she’s crossed early. LADY MAYFLOWER will continue to improve with dirt experience.

Numbers: 1 – 5 – 10 – 4

Suggested Bet – VIVA MARCONI EACHWAY

RACE 2

DUST ASIDE won his maiden by an increasing 6.4L margin and quite simply if he jumps and leads then he probably wins again. As we saw at his first outing on the dirt – he must jump cleanly – effectively you’re more or less punting on the barrier rise. Jody McLaughlin’s season so far has been nothing short of enormous: 37 starters, 11 winners at 29.7% strike rate and a whopping 69% POT. MAJESTUOSO PHOENIX has run second in both outings since arriving in the West and they’ve both been at the hands of speedy 3 year old Now You See Me. He’s back in grade into a C2 and going super. MAKE YOUR POINT improved sharply last start when there was a bit of money around for him in the market. WHATS THE POINT is an enigmatic Grey. He’ll be all or nothing.

Numbers: 3 – 1 – 2 – 4

Suggested Bet – DUST ASIDE WIN

RACE 3

HOUSEWIFE vs KINGS CALL looks to be another race where Jody McLaughlin holds a mortgage. With the 3kg claim that HOUSEWIFE again has for an in form Jason Li going to again side up with the mare who has won her last two in style, including winning from outside the handicap last time out when stepping into this 70+ grade for the first time. She’s yet to be proven at a mile but as a general rule of thumb horses in Broome go a furlong further than their historical grass form – so hoping that rule continues to hold strong. KINGS CALL gets a 1kg weight swing to try and turn around a 1L margin. Shouldn’t be anything between them. BORDER FORCE disappointed last start, prior run was encouraging. WHY ME will appreciate getting out further and further in trip.

Numbers: 5 – 3 – 4 – 7

Suggested Bet – HOUSEWIFE WIN

RACE 4

CRUISE TO VICTORY is just winning for fun at the minute. Led and won a 70+ 1200 stopping the clock 7.5L faster than average, led and won a 70+ 1300 stopping the clock 0.5L faster than average. Given a 28 day freshen and is drawn outside both King Cartel and Now You See Me so this is clearly his toughest test to date under 60.5kg but think he can prove the toughest on-speeder late in the race. NOW YOU SEE ME drops 4kg start to start as he tests the waters 1) in 70+ grade but more importantly 2) at 1200m. If they attack him, he might be vulnerable late? HELL I AM looks to be quickly finding his feet on the dirt. CLIMB ON TOP hasn’t been seen for 7 weeks since beating Cruise To Victory who he meets 2kg better again.

Numbers: 1 – 8 – 2 – 4

Suggested Bet – CRUISE TO VICTORY WIN

RACE 5

ROMMELS GODDESS is drawn barrier 1 and that’s the biggest cause for concern, however, on the bright side – there really isn’t hat much speed and pressure drawn outside of her, so starting to think that Simone Altieri will kick her out in attempt to hold up and potentially lead. If she leads she’s the one to beat. SUCCESS PLAY should be much improved for both the dirt experience and the step up to a more suitable 1435m. That should allow him to stride forward and take up a far more prominent position in running too and that will see him improve sharply. ZORBRIST is an enigma but his best run in Broome was under Austin Galati who jumps back aboard. IMA WILD GIRL should get across and run a race at odds.

Numbers: 2 – 1 – 4 – 9

Suggested Bet – ROMMELS GODDESS WIN

RACE 6

LEAVING LAS VEGAS was too good for them in a C2 1435 first start at Broome and then jumped slow and was seemingly looking for further second-up. Gets out in trip here, gets senior rider Austin Galati back aboard and is drawn to march around them and be put into the contest from a fair way out. FORTUNES LUCK was able to cross and lead last start at the 1780 and that was the difference for her. She looked comfortable in front, was allowed to get a cheap time of it early and then sprint hard from the 600 to pinch the race on straightening. Her L600 was 11L faster than average so it was the winning move putting the foot down and skipping clear – expect that Ava Catarino looks to do the exact same thing here. LUCKY LANDING’s last win was a 58+ 1780 last season. PHAROAH SHOW was never going to get into the race fresh at 1300.

Numbers: 6 – 7 – 3 – 2

Suggested Bet – LEAVING LAS VEGAS WIN

RACE 7

RULESQUE is always there abouts and this looks a suitable race for him. He tried hard behind Topaz in a 1435 C2 last time out and he was 5 weeks between runs as well. Should be fitter here third-up and should hold a better spot in running than his stablemate in Sempre. SEMPRE is the way that Kyra Yuill rides and that’s a very important lead given the fact that Jody McLaughlin has 4 runners in the race. But with his gate speed he’s possibly 3 back the fence in a world of hurt? CANGGU won a 50+ 1615 last prep by nearly 2L. Has had 3x barrier trials but still just might need the run first-up? SOLAR SYSTEM has been a model of consistency but if he has to work hard early then the 1300 may stretch?

Numbers: 3 – 5 – 8 – 6

Suggested Bet – RULESQUE EACHWAY

Quaddie (Race 4 – 7)

1,2,3,4,5,8

1,2,4

2,3,6,7

3,5,6,8

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