Races

Scott Embry’s Wednesday Ascot Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

SENSESSIONAL was massive against the pattern first-up in a winner producing race (Miss Esprit, Sensessional and He’s Archie all winners out of that race) and then produced a big turn of acceleration to gun down handy maiden My Hidden Universe second-up. Looks ready to see out a strong 1400 and from the draw he should get every chance to do so. PULL THE TRIGGER could not have trialled up any better at Lark Hill. He looks well above average and might be worth. Ready for a break out campaign. MADE IN MEXICO was maybe a touch disappointing last start? He can bounce back from the front. ANOTHER STRIKE was well supported to beat trial star Starating and punters almost got it right.

Numbers: 3 – 4 – 2 – 5

Suggested Bet – SENSESSIONAL WIN

RACE 2 

SO NATAYA could not have been more impressive on debut over 1200m. She sat back, she raced greenly and she savaged the line through heavy traffic. Was a writing on the wall type job and she looks like she’s got a big motor. With race experience and a back to follow into the home corner she looks hard to hold out late. Banking on natural ability getting her through in the early days. BIONDO ran third behind Memory Parade (winner since), Elite Fashions (winner since) and beat home King’s Call (winner since) and King’s Call (winner since) before heading to a Saturday race. Much better suited here. DEFERRED looked a bit lost without cover last start. PRIVATE SAPLING almost toppled Alaskan last start at odds.

Numbers: 14 – 4 – 11 – 2

Suggested Bet – SO NATAYA WIN

RACE 3

JUST FAMOUS should get every chance from leader’s back here. On debut he finished off well behind Oregon Hiker, second start he did some work and finished only 3L off Made In Mexico and Deferred and then last start he finished second to Princess In Red who heads to the Challenge Stakes and beat home Magnachine who was backed off the boards to win last week. Right set up for him. CHOP SUEY went very close down the 1000m straight at Pinjarra last start. He can bounce out and put himself in a spot. BONDI PLUNGE couldn’t reel in Cheeky Charlotte first-up but then again neither could the C1 gallopers last week. FIRM TALK made an impression at trials.

Numbers: 4 – 3 – 10 – 5

Suggested Bet – JUST FAMOUS WIN

RACE 4

BOHEMIAN DIAMOND caught the eye back in December over 1200m at $150-1 behind Lost City and then wasn’t seen again for 3 months. Resumed over 1410m at Bunbury when getting to the line strongly late and now second-up at a mile she looks to have found a suitable race to break through. Should blend in midfield with cover and wind up strongly late in an even contest. PLAYING AROUND tried hard behind Seven Iron last start and prior to that finished third to subsequent winners Russian To The Bar and Papavero Princess. Right form. SIMPLY and MANZOR MAGIC both look like they’ll be wanting ground and may head towards a Derby trip.

Numbers: 15 – 6 – 7 – 8

Suggested Bet – BOHEMIAN DIAMOND EACHWAY

RACE 5

SASS MACHINE should prove too zippy for these over the 1000m. On debut she went 5L faster than 2 year old average and was nabbed on the post by Elite One before heading to Belmont Park and holding out talented galloper Masamune. 400m jump outs have been electric. Only queries are: 1) her latest trial was a month ago; and 2) she has to carry 57.5kg. She’ll be in front for a long way. HOT NOVA can park and ride and finds this a lot easier than the WA Breeders Classic. PEGGY’S LASS has trialled well. Is on debut in a C1 but looks to have ability. DIABLO LAD was a strong first-up winner when well found in betting.

Numbers: 2 – 5 – 7 – 1

Suggested Bet – SASS MACHINE WIN

RACE 6

YALLINGUP GIRL doesn’t have the same ‘wow’ factor as Miss Skyhigh but she’s well placed here by Neville Parnham and after the 2kg claim for Luke Campbell and the ideal barrier she looks a genuine threat to the favourite. Two starts back she split Premium Girl (now a 60+ Graduation winner) and Cool Memory (now a 3 year old 0MWLY winner). Did a mountain of work last start in a complete forgive run. MISS SKYHIGH might be too classy but she’s first-up, no trial over 1400m. Everything she’s done to date is that of a very sharp filly. Huge respect. PAPAVERO PRINCES hasn’t put a foot wrong all campaign. She’s flying. STARATING has struck the best C1 we’ve seen in months after winning well first-up.

Numbers: 1 – 7 – 4 – 8

Suggested Bet – YALLINGUP GIRL EACHWAY

RACE 7

SAULOK is third-up and comes back into a C1 after finishing second to Our Nemesis in a C3 at Belmont most recently. This is a great chance for him to either cross to the top or sit outside of main danger Our Rocky Bay and from there they control the race. Expect they’ll look to kick hard into the corner and thinking that Saulok is ready to produce his best run of the prep. OUR ROCKY BAY comes through a 3 year old 0MWLY and is drawn to get every favour from barrier 1. Either leads or sits leader’s back on Saulok. BONDI’S FUTURE covered ground last start and kept coming. ONE PUNCH never saw daylight in the same race.

Numbers: 3 – 5 – 8 – 9

Suggested Bet – SAULOK WIN

RACE 8

BLEECKER STREET maps to get the run of the race tracking up high speed pair Norich and Seeable. He’s coming up in grade but that means that DMac can go with a senior rider again in CJP who rode him to victory with an air of arrogance. Did plenty of work last start before fading late over 1400m. Looks the right race for him. BUDGERIGAR has blinkers added for the first time and also comes back to 1200m. Looking at his book Chris Parnham could be riding a wave of confidence by this stage of the day. SEDUCE ME is well named, she continues to tease without winning. NORICH won well fresh.

Numbers: 6 – 2 – 7 – 8

Suggested Bet – BLEECKER STREET WIN

RACE 9

EMPRESS OF INDIA hasn’t won a race since her 2 year old debut which is an obvious red flag, however, her recent efforts in better quality races than this have been excellent. Most recently off a 5-week gap she charged home into fifth behind the in form Indie Ruler. Best chance she’s had in a while. CROSS STATEMENT hasn’t won a race for quite a while but he goes well fresh and first-up last campaign he split Goddess Of Giving and Songaa in a 66+ on a Saturday. His last 14 outings have been in higher grade and back into a C3 it looks like ZJP gets his chance to cross over to the fence and run them along. LIEUTENANT DUNBAR is lightly raced and has shown plenty so far. SIMPLE LOGIC is a previous back-up winner.

Numbers: 3 – 1 – 2 – 5

Suggested Bet – EMPRESS OF INDIA WIN

RACE 10

INVESTMENT STRATEGY is one of two proven commodities in Listed / Group company in the race alongside A Lot Of Good Men and at SWP everything needs to come up to their level. He’s had the benefit of two soft trials, he’s capable of taking a sit on Memory Parade and Cool Memory and enjoying a gun run and he’s got a 50% winning strike rate to his name. He’s hard to look past. A LOT OF GOOD MEN gets a 3kg weight swing on him from their Fairetha encounter where there was a 1.3L margin. He was simply run off his legs in the Breeders Classic. RUSSIAN TO THE BAR is an emerging type. MEMORY PARADE is one tough filly.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 6 – 8

Suggested Bet – INVESTMENT STRATEGY WIN

RACE 11

THE RUSH goes around at double figures in race which looks to have plenty of live chances on paper. Has been competing well enough in Westspeed Platinum company recently to suggest that dropping back into a C3 she could bob up at odds and run a cheeky race. Liked the effort behind Filthy Habits and subsequent winner Here For Cheques two back. OWN THE QUEEN will be the far more popular stablemate. Real X-Factor about her. Very green but looks good. FOREVER CLASSIC didn’t let down fresh. Maybe first-up 1400m was too much of an ask for her? Forgiving. BANKS AVENUE is going really well.

Numbers: 12 – 13 – 8 – 2

Suggested Bet – THE RUSH EACHWAY

RACE 12

ICEBERGS showed something first-up behind Memory Parade and subsequent winner Premium Girl. Drops out of a 3 year old Saturday back into a mid-weeker and looks to have some level of ability. Don’t think there’s that much between the top 6/7 in this and he’s shown that he can sit on speed and off speed which means they can ride him to the pattern of the day. SEVEN IRON is another 3 year old taking on the older horses who looks to have plenty of upside. He’ll be winning plenty of races across his career and should be hard to beat here. SAVORSKI would have been a moral beat if the gaps didn’t appear for him last start. JELLY CAN RUN is off 4 days and recent runs are better than they read.

Numbers: 7 – 9 – 2 – 5

Suggested Bet – ICEBERGS EACHWAY

Quaddie (Race 9 – 12)

1,2,3,5,9

1,2

2,4,5,7,8,12,13

1,2,5,7,9

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