Races

Scott Embry’s Saturday Ascot Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

SJ Miller trains the first winner and really should quinella it. MISS MARGAUX could not have been more impressive on debut when nailed on the post by an above average filly with form behind Cliffs of Comfort. Miss Margaux ran 4.5L faster than average when leading and that should make her awfully hard to beat here. LAST OF THE LINE is the stablemate and trialled the house down on multiple occasions. They really should clear out from the rest in a match race. I HOPE YOU DANCE is consistent. SANTANDER should get it soft three back the fence.

Numbers: 9 – 3 – 5 – 2

Suggested Bet – MISS MARGAUX WIN

RACE 2

REAL GRACE is a rare Peters’ Investments 2 year old to come to the track. She looked a readymade filly at trials. 1000m sure to be on her short side but looks to have a motor. CHOIX DE LACE likely went shin sore on debut. Recent trial when jumping cleanly was impressive and with the blinkers on, multiple other gear changes and importantly Jason Brown into the saddle she can lead and give cheek. JUST A PINCH looks an absolute professional at trials and didn’t let supporters down on debut. CAPTAIN BURGLAR looks set to do it tough from the gate.

Numbers: 6 – 4 – 3 – 2

Suggested Bet – REAL GRACE WIN

RACE 3

REGAL COUNSEL backs up off 7 days from nearly the strongest 72+ race you’ll see at Ascot. He finished behind Red Can Man, Pyms Royale and Sophie’s Song beating home Patristic, Fred Dag and Dutch Spy. He steps into a 78+, draws to box seat or sit one out and one back and a couple of his main rivals are on trial at the trip. Good race for him. CAROCAPO is starting to show just how good he is. Racing extremely well and can win from on the speed and off the speed. FLOYD is low flying. All three of his runs this campaign have been enormous. Jarrad Noske on is worth a couple of lengths to him too. FESTIVAL MISS likely settles last in the small field but has a short sharp burst of speed.

Numbers: 6 – 1 – 2 – 8

Suggested Bet – REGAL COUNSEL WIN

RACE 4

STATE ATTORNEY is a much-maligned horse in WA racing but when he draws a gate he always runs super races. He is a fresh inside alley horse if there ever was one. In a race where Mervyn and M’Lady could lock horns he smokes the pipe three back the fence waiting to pounce late. Eye catching at his most recent behind Shinju, This’ll Testya and Catherine Wheel. MERVYN can carry weight and will be looking to find the fence. DECALDA is a very nice mare resuming off a long absence. Trialled enormous but looks destined to tramp three deep the trip chasing a hot tempo. MOLTEN is never far away.

Numbers: 10 – 2 – 6 – 3

Suggested Bet – STATE ATTORNEY EACHWAY

RACE 5

PADDY’S SHADOW backs up off 7 days and drops back to 1800m. She ended up a long way back last week from a sticky draw but here she maps to get a nice run smothered up midfield with cover. Once she hits form she normally holds it. MYSTERY MISS was alright first-up, good second-up and should be peaking third up. I’m going to wait until Pike goes on before reaching for the wallet. ADORNMENT likely settles three back the fence. Better run last week. SCORELINE should enjoy a soft run behind the two leaders.

Numbers: 6 – 1 – 11 – 10

Suggested Bet – PADDY’S SHADOW EACHWAY

RACE 6

RED HOT TIP could be the horse to cause the ‘mini boilover’ in the Melvista Stakes. Likely to roll straight to the top and Ryan Hill is very good at rating them from the top and then giving a big kick turning for home. The favourite looks vulnerable to a sit sprint and that’s exactly what this race is likely to be. BOGART is a big gangly awkward looking animal but he can stay and he has the best rider aboard. GREAT WATERS is a maiden but box seats behind the slow speed. MIDNIGHT BLUE ran well in the JC Roberts.

Numbers: 3 – 1 – 8 – 2

Suggested Bet – RED HOT TIP WIN

RACE 7

SHE’S ALIGHT comes from the ugliest race at Ascot in years where there were more forgive runs than there were good ones. Put a line through that race and her previous form was super consistent and very impressive. Senior rider on, drawn to sit one out and one back, she looks well placed. KITGUM is racing particularly well and should box seat from the inside gate. WILD FUSION continues to race well and from the draw should be afforded every chance. UTGARD LOKI is ready but the map looks very tricky for him and Lucy Warwick.

Numbers: 9 – 6 – 7 – 5

Suggested Bet – SHE’S ALIGHT EACHWAY

RACE 8

LIPSTICK FLICKERS comes from that heinous race where nobody wanted to lead so nobody really did and nearly every single horse copped considerable interference at various stages of an eyesore of a 1400m Olympic Walk. Shaun McGruddy back on, no real speed drawn underneath her, she should either cross them or sit outside the leader and from there she looks a class above rivals. DIVINE SHADOW has a wide gate to contend with and likely concedes Lipstick Flickers a fair head start but he has a powerful finish. SPECIAL CHOICE has raced without luck all campaign. ON THE TURPS is impossible to catch but capable.

Numbers: 2 – 3 – 8 – 12

Suggested Bet – LIPSTICK FLICKERS WIN

Race 9

TUSCAN QUEEN deserves to be deep in the red after her dominant win in the Natasha Stakes. At set weights conditions the race looks over on paper but at 2400m every now and then you see a surprise result. PAMBELLA ran the fastest last 1000, 800, 600 and 200 of the Natasha and continues to improve. SAFE TO MAKEUP did all the work in that race and toughed it out impressively. NAUGHTY BY NATURE struggled in the Natasha but was super in the Ascot 1000 Guineas.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 12 – 3

Suggested Bet – FIRST FOUR: 1 / 2,12 / 2,3,5,6,12 / 2,3,5,6,7,8,12

Race 10

CRYPTIC LOVE was brilliant first-up and then found bad traffic when looking the winner last start. From the gate she could find herself back next to last with a large field in front of her. By Race 10 punters will know whether or not that’s a winnable position or not. SPEEDING COMET backing up off 7 days, back in trip and drawn a gate can improve sharply. SWEET DREAMIN’ is a Pike horse and he goes back aboard. ILLUSTRIOUS TYCOON should sit right over the speed and has no excuses.

Numbers: 10 – 1 – 9 – 4

Suggested Bet – CRYPTIC LOVE WIN

Quaddie (Race 7 – 10)

5,6,7,8,9

2

1

1,4,9,10,15

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