Races

Scott Embry’s Wednesday Belmont Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

Race 1

HANSADIOS led and won a C1 1000 at AScot first-up, beating home subsequent Placid Ark Prelude winner Levati Dimezzo. Second-up she went to that feature event, led and was run down over 1100m to a 1.5L margin. There’s no Levati Dimezzos or Afireofgidgeecoals in this and even if she has to breeze outside of My Testimony, expect she’ll be really hard to beat. NINTYMILESTRAIGHT ran second to Hot and High in a Lee Steere Classic as a 3 year old filly. Big weight even after the claim but she’s got some class about her. SHE’S CAPITANA has only won one race, it was over 1000m and from barrier 1. ARTIE’S STORM is one of those market horses who is blindly supported at every outing. Why?

Numbers: 4 – 1 – 3 – 5

Suggested Bet – HANSADIOS WIN

Race 2

GOD SHE’S GOOD should have (hopefully) taken a stack of benefit and improvement from her wayward debut behind key rival Luminous Lil. She was beaten a 1.1L margin, however, if she had gone anywhere near straight then that margin would have been far less. Lugging bit goes on, draws to get a lovely run behind a hot tempo and goes around eachway. CHIXFROMTHESTICKS ran second to One Last Resort and beat home Official Business last start. One Last Resort heads to the Placid Ark on the second line of betting and on Melbourne Cup Day Official Business was $4 into $1.65 and held up the entire. LUMINOUS LIL is jump and run and was still strong at the back end of her Northam win. SIP SOCIETY wasn’t tested at trials.

Numbers: 7 – 2 – 3 – 8

Suggested Bet – GOD SHE’S GOOD EACHWAY

Race 3 (Best Bet)

DON’T DECLARE has become a test of patience but should be breaking through very soon. Good thing beat on debut, massive into fifth in the 2025 Placid Ark Prelude, even bigger in the Placid Ark beaten under 2L Luana Miss, solid in one run last prep behind Xentaro who has progressed through the grades and then first-up this prep was held up at crucial stages when beaten by stablemate Snow Monkey. Swap the runs, swap the result and being three deep cover here looks the right spot. MORIKAWA is on the quick back-up and might take the opportunity to return to his jump and run pattern kept out of trouble. CANNOTSTOP caught the eye at trials and will be in a similar spot to Don’t Declare in run. MR KAPLAN was jumping out of the ground late last week.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 2 – 8

Suggested Bet – DON’T DECLARE WIN

Race 4

VINNY NAY was enormous last week. He was drawn 15/16, caught three wide for the first portion of the race before eventually rolling around to the breeze in a race where they put the speed on from start to finish. The overall time was 4.5L faster than maiden average and he was doing all the donkey work in the breeze. Backs up off 7 days, gets out to a mile but does again have to overcome a tricky draw. BRODA struck a heavily leader bias track on debut and did a super job to finish off into sixth from an impossible position. Big watch with Pike on. NON REFELECTIVE was in the same race as Vinny Nay, had a few minor traffic issues and then was only hitting top gear in the last 75m. SUPER GOD also through that form reference race but thought he had a better flow than Non Reflective.

Numbers: 4 – 10 – 5 – 7

Suggested Bet – VINNY NAY WIN

Race 5

UNIMANDO looks a big chance of making it three in a row before heading into Saturday company. He sat in the breeze at Northam to break his maiden before being crunched in betting in his C1 to beat two handy 3 year olds in Secret Planet (massive on Melb Cup Day) and Quedjinup (not disgraced in a Burgess Queen). He can either park up outside of Jolson Al or roll to the top himself and from either position he is going to be hard to beat. Screams of another big market move. KINGS PARK really caught the eye from a mile back at Ascot and is far better suited out to 1200m. DIAMOND DANCER maps to stalk and she’s dangerous from that position. QUOKKA ROCKA was never in the contest first-up. Senior on second-up.

Numbers: 2 – 6 – 1 – 4

Suggested Bet – UNIMANDO WIN

Race 6

COSTA DEL DARLO is doing a great job. He led and won his maiden at Northam beating subsequent winners (and rivals) Squad Goal and De Lago’s Rock – they all rise 2kg here meeting again in a C1 and this looks another great chance for him to lead and kick hard into the corner at his usual eachway quote. JOYOH is a 17 start C1. The market adores her and she’s a big firmer in betting at nearly every start she goes to, and considering she led them up last start and stopped the clock 7L faster than Westspeed average – she’ll again get attacked in betting. DE LAGO’S ROCK got the world perfect run last start in a slowly run maiden. This is tougher but he’s improving with racing. SQUAD GOAL may end up going to Thursday.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 5 – 6

Suggested Bet – COSTA DEL DARLO EACHWAY

Race 7

QUEEN ARIA worked home well first-up at Bunbury in a leader dominated event behind Scream and then got herself into all sorts of bother in the home straight last start at Northam. Was an ugly watch and it’s worth remembering that she was a $3.60 chance in a C5 and now sneaking back into a C3 she’ll be at least double that price without Pike. If they can make ground watch for her late. KING BREW is 1000 to 1400m which is an unknown but he’s got a bit of X-Factor about him. He’s a completely different horse settling on speed and expect that Laqdar Ramoly will look to land in the first 4 here and keep him in the firing line throughout. BARRON BILL was woeful first-up. He settled last, finished last and looked completely lost / uncomfortable. RUN PATTIE RUN gets it cheap three back fence.

Numbers: 2 – 1 – 3 – 6

Suggested Bet – QUEEN ARIA EACHWAY

Quaddie (Race 4 – 7)

4,5,10

1,2,4,6

1,4,5

1,2,3,6




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