Races

Scott Embry’s Saturday Belmont Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

RACE 1

REVITUP is probably almost on her mark with 59.5kg at SWP but the Holly Watson claim helps and the fact she’s an on speed type means that if she gets through the anticipated soft7/heavy8 type conditions on Saturday then she stays out of trouble. Her only two defeats this preparation are to two undefeated gallopers (Rumour Says and Aztec Ruler). She’s hard to knock. THE COLLECTOR will bring a lot of attention from trial watchers. Was a slower trial than Cosmopolitan Girl & Snippenova on the same day but it was more about how he extended when asked for an effort by Pat Carbery. Looked to have gears. JEANELLA a big improver with a senior rider back on. PLATINUM CLASS is going well.

Numbers: 1 – 6 – 9 – 11

Suggested Bet – REVITUP WIN

RACE 2 

OLGA LOUISA is a well noted wet track mare being two from two undefeated on Heavy8 tracks. She is a jump and run 1000m speedster and last start she was able to cross from barrier 16 of 16 and was still there fighting on in the final 100m of the race. Drawn underneath fellow speed filly Heavenly Waters and should be able to shake her off half way up the straight. Did beat home State of Power two starts ago in the Eeyore Wayz race and meets her half a kilo better. Great eachway bet. STATE OF POWER is the obvious danger. She has backed up twice and finished in the money on both occasions, she’s a Heavy8 winner herself and she’s coming out of 66+ and 3yo 62+ company. Huge respect. WEDNESDAY can let rip late in her races when she gets a soft run. STORM COMMANDER can settle much closer from an inside draw.

Numbers: 3 – 4 – 9 – 5

Suggested Bet – OLGA LOUISA EACHWAY

RACE 3

HALATORION put the writing on the wall first-up no trial when sitting back and wide and coming home with a blistering 33.11 L600 in a near career best performance. Has the maiden scalp of Otheroneson and has always shown a bit of X-Factor. Second-up is drawn better, steps out to a more suitable 1200m and gains the services of senior rider Clint Johnston-Porter. Will have plenty of admirers. ASTRO WARRIOR returned a winner for the new stable and then was solid behind Cold Shizzle in a 60+ Graduation. These Westspeed Platinum races are perfect for him. BREAD TO FLIRT is only coming out of C1 company but drops in weight, gets through the soft and maps well. FOREST WAR gets back and has last crack at them.

Numbers: 5 – 4 – 8 – 3

Suggested Bet – HALATORION WIN

RACE 4

SUNSPHERE was beaten a margin in a 50+ on Wednesday at Belmont. It’s certainly not form that jumps off the page at you, however, he is on the 3 day back-up, drops significant weight and has a senior rider re-engaged. His prior form was all in and around Reliable Star/Bold Success and he has a turn of foot which is suited to drawing inside and being smothered up midfield with cover. Love a stayer on the quick back-up. BOLD SUCCESS is bursting to win a race. Placed to Reliable Star at his last two and prior to that finished third to Sluice Box and Reliable Star. It’s the right form. RELIABLE STAR has a new rider and blinkers for the first time. She’s proven on the quick back-up and she’s proven on rain affected tracks. MAJINIKA was huge last start.

Numbers: 7 – 4 – 1 – 2

Suggested Bet – SUNSPHERE EACHWAY

RACE 5

SEDUCE ME won in this grade two starts ago running down subsequent winner and sharp filly Sniparoochy and then last start from barrier 12 of 13 settled in a different postcode to them before rattling home into fourth behind Magnificent Andy and Nero King. Meets Nero King 3kg better at the weights and the barrier draw makes things tough for Magnificent Andy. Should hold a far better spot in running and provided she gets through the track conditions should be there abouts at an eachway quote. CATALPA gets 3.5kg on Frigid from their last start encounter and is now drawn to box seat. Sharp improver. NERO KING is a raw talent. He’s going to make into a very nice horse and is doing everything on natural ability at the minute. FRIGID is drawn in the Swan River but has tactical speed. Needs a 10/10.

Numbers: 5 – 3 – 6 – 4

Suggested Bet – SEDUCE ME EACHWAY

RACE 6

BRAVE DREAM put the writing on the wall last start with a fast finishing third behind No Apology (since second to Savage One) and Vital Flirt. Senior rider back aboard, down in the weights, drawn well and should be peaking third-up from a spell. She’s proven herself in the wet and this time last year we were thinking she was ready to explode through the grades. May have been 12 months too early. CHILI IS HOT is in a rich vein of form and Paul Harvey is riding her really well. She’s drawn a sticky alley but she’ll be winding up into the race from the 600. FLYING MISSILE backs up off 7 days, drops 3kg and can lead at her own leisure on paper. Hard to run down. ALL DAY SESSION had genuine excuses last start. Forgive and forget.

Numbers: 9 – 3 – 5 – 2

Suggested Bet – BRAVE DREAM WIN

RACE 7

GHOBELLA loomed into the race first-up, to the point where Jason Whiting pushed out from three back the fence into the four and five deep line on straightening to get her into clear galloping room. Didn’t quite let down and probably peaked on her run first-up. She’s a winner on a Heavy8, she maps to get a nice run into it midfield with cover and she should only improve second-up. Open race and one of many live chances. MULTINATIONAL has returned in great order. He’s a 1400m winner, he’s Heavy8 placed and he can lead or box seat from the draw. Hard to run down. MY FURY was huge two starts ago behind Conquered Zone when sitting off the track and then got no room to move in the Belmont Oaks. CONQUERED ZONE is going well and he’s a consistent type who normally holds his form.

Numbers: 10 – 4 – 14 – 9

Suggested Bet – GHOBELLA EACHWAY

RACE 8

NERODIO is a dynamite Belmont Park, wet track sprinter and punters were all over him in the Beaufine. He’s a winner with 59kg previously and from the barrier he’ll get the run he needs to let loose late in the race. Laqdar Ramoly rides him brilliantly and there’s no reason why he can’t go back to back. THE SPRUIKER resumed in a 78+ ratings race with 60.5kg and ran well behind Secret Plan. He is three from three second-up, two from two on a Heavy track, five from six at Belmont Park and while he loses his regular rider in Shaun McGruddy (not riding 54.5kg) Peter Knuckey has ridden him to two previous wins. Perennially underrated. HOT ZED is a model of consistency and while he’s not yet proven on heavily rain affected surfaces there’s nothing to suggest he won’t get through it. Always a top 4 proposition. ISEERED ISEERED was too bad to be true fresh.

Numbers: 1 – 7 – 5 – 9

Suggested Bet – NERODIO WIN

RACE 9

REGAL MAGIC has returned to racing in brilliant order. Her first-up run behind Ghost Who Walks and Storm Commander was excellent, her second-up win was strong and she now drops down to 55.5kg and has a senior rider on. She’s a Heavy10 winner so no matter how much rain comes the way of Belmont Park she’ll be able to get through and she should get the run she needs midfield with cover. SENTIMENTAL HERO was two for two last preparation before being tipped out. Trialled super for the new yard and is drawn a perfect alley. MERCANTO took the inside running last start when everyone was getting out wide. Not a bad effort when reviewed against the pattern. RIVER RUBICON is classy and the trial was seriously sharp. Barrier 15 of 15.

Numbers: 11 – 10 – 4 – 8

Suggested Bet – REGAL MAGIC EACHWAY

Quaddie (Race 6 – 9)

2,3,5,9

4,6,10,14

1,5,7

2,4,5,7,8,10,11,13,14

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