Races

Glenn Ingram’s Saturday Sandown Preview

Posted on | Posted by Glenn Ingram

Race 1

Good race for ICHNUSA third-up ready to win, home best at Flemington in a stronger race, lack of gate speed the concern. MR O’REILLY maps well controlling the speed, FIOROWNGOOD appears the only pressure coming across from a wide gate, can sit 2nd at the leader’s girth, going for five on end, hard to knock. BUR DUBAI may use a low draw to be more forward with Blake Shinn from barrier three. SHAIYHAR returned to something like his best with the new stable last start. A blowout chance at odds.

Selections: 12,11,8,1

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 2

Should go quick early. ALERO from one will lead, had pattern in favour at Bendigo, KARREN goes forward from a wide gate with BACASH, he gets the winkers back on. BEFUDDLE was supported to win at Pakenham and led, out-sprinted to the line, no weight here with Jackson Radley claiming, can also push forward and try slot in. PARVENU can sit off the speed and charge home as she did in recent jumpout, 1300m may be to short, any rain about helps. SKIPPERS CANYON is another appreciating a strong speed, again 1300m a shade too short.

Selections: 9,13,12,1

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 3

Good tempo with PORTER leading from EL ROCKO, GRID GIRL and ROADCONE all racing in the forward half. FUNDAMENTAL NATURE let down hard under Willie Pike at Flemington and this race sets up nicely to repeat the effort and clear hardest to beat. OAK BEACH ran a bottler first-up at Sandown last campaign and has jumped out in similar style, expecting a forward showing and draws to get the suck run in behind the speed. IMPULSIVE REACTION is another with a good turn of speed if they run along.

Selections: 4,9,5,6

Suggested Bet: FUNDAMENTAL NATURE win

Race 4 (Wildcard)

FALLS OF ACHARN has been freshened since a solid first-up run at Ballarat behind the rejuvenated Haaracaine. Liked his recent jumpout and although he meets a strong field he’s a competitive chance. TERRORTORIAN surprised everyone stepping up to 2000m for the first time and won running away at Seymour. Freshened, back to 1800m, new stable, watch betting. THE MUFFIN MAN was one of few horses to make ground from back and wide on a leader-bias track at Bendigo, closing in on a win. GENEVA ran a good placing at his Australian debut, needs it firm.

Selections: 8,17,13,6

Suggested Bet: FALLS OF ACHARN 1 x 3

Race 5 (Best Value)

CONSULATE has shown above-average ability all the way through and comes into his target race ready to peak after a chequered run in the Vanity Stakes at Flemington. Key rider booking of the world’s best and meets an even field for the Guineas. ANGLAIS had been disappointing until a set of blinkers went on Ballarat with the money and she was very impressive winning at Ballarat beating a moderate bunch. Blinkers had the same effect on MAGNA SENTENTIA as she sat outside lead at Geelong and raced away for an equally-impressive win. HARRY LIME will likely lead and give a sight.

Selections: 11,7,12,4

Suggested Bet: CONSULATE win

Race 6

OAK HILL is well-placed to win *if he brings his best and settles in the run, draws a good marble to smoke up behind the speed. BRED’EM ALL is also a strong winning chance landing forward of midfield coming out of the chute. TENNESSEE SPIRIT is going for four in a row and has been a revelation since being ridden for a sit for the new camp. Again, not out of this one. Most of the speed comes from the wider draws, LAKE FOREST resuming and SALUTED an impressive jumpout winner last week as well as UNFLINCHING.

Selections: 1,8,10,9

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 7

Sticking with AROUSED who won a slick 1000m Ballarat maiden then raced on speed in the Crockett and just tired late. She’ll improve off that and back around a bend with a soft draw, top pick in an even field of fillies. NATURAL FLING will also enjoy getting back round a bend and avoiding the boys, she’s been taking on the best of the 3YO’s this season and this is a peg below. Should lead. CHAYAN and AROUSED hit the line together in the Crockett, doubt there’s much between although James McDonald jumps aboard, the gate is sticky. What to make of ANGEL’S FURY, started short odds in the race and was awful last 100m.

Selections: 13,2,1,10

Suggested Bet: AROUSED 1 x 3

Race 8

The feature and the hardest race on the program, the Orr Stakes. JIMMYSSTAR has recaptured his form since blinkers went on, he has the best closing speed over 1400m but so much luck needed from the inside draw. BEIWACHT leads this field from barrier 3 and drops back to 1400m which is in his favour, if nobody takes him on, he will take beating. SHADAHVAR, like the stable is airborne at present, somewhat fortunate she wasn’t crossed at Flem after being slowly away, in the end it didn’t matter, way too good. Wary of SPLASH BACK finishing over the top, she was ok at Flem first-up, first two runs of the prep usually best, can improve.

Selections: 1,5,8,7

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 9

Visiting SMALL FRY was eye-catching at Geelong finishing off behind the subsequent Melbourne Cup winner a possible freak of nature in Point Of Law. The query is second-up but has been given plenty of time to get over, Mark Zahra takes the ride, well drawn, has to be the starting point in a tough race. Good effort from JUJA KIBO in the Melbourne Cup and he’s hard and fit and 2400m suits. KINGSWOOD at 2400m proved no issue sitting wide throughout in the Caulfield Cup and strong at the end of the race, four weeks between runs and a sticky draw the challenge. Fresh horse on the scene is TRAVOLTA, a listed winner over 2000m last start, right camp to be winning.

Selections: 10,5,2,9

Suggested Bet: SMALL FRY win

Race 10 (Best Bet)

CONCORD CONNIE had a late start to her spring campaign and now reaping the reward and she is set to peak while most of her rivals are on the way down, no chance against the pattern at Caulfield and found one better in fast time at Flemington, she was game in the chase. Just needs a decent tempo to be winning and SUPERFABULISTIC should ensure it’s truly run. Like SAVITRI, freshened after not seeing out the mile at Caulfield, jumped out well since and back to 1500m is her chance at black type. Hard to make a case for much else.

Selections: 4,10,12,11

Suggested Bet: CONCORD CONNIE – Set to peak at the back of end spring and finds the right race against her own sex to be winning.

MULTI: R3#4 win, R5#11 place, R10#10 place




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