Races

Scott Embry’s Saturday Ascot Preview

Posted on | Posted by Scott Embry

Race 1

NOAHQUINTILLY won a C3 1400 on Melbourne Cup Day from a near identical position to where she’s likely to land here. Michael Lane looks to have successfully reprogrammed her from her tear away leader style from earlier in her career and she’ll only get better and better as she steps to 1500 and then 1800 and ultimately out to 2000m and beyond later in the preparation. See no reason why she can’t win again. PROPERATA is a lightly raced 3 year old and the way he hit the line last start behind Tex ‘N’ Cee might just be the answer to how to ride him going forward. They’ll land in very similar positions in running and one of the pair should be winning. ENCROACHING has looked a different horse leading. DEFENDING is as honest and consistent as they come.

Numbers: 4 – 9 – 11 – 1

Suggested Bet – NOAHQUINTILLY WIN

Race 2

KINGS COURT has been beaten 2.5L Bassett Hound, Like Clockwork and Devine Belief and then 2.3L Bassett Hound, Devine Belief and Santanova. He now drops back into a 66+ and leads. He’s going to go around close to double figures in a race that contains a lot of midfield/backmarking types. Worth a spec. LONG SERVICE LEAF is 4 from 6 at 1000m and 0 from 3 at 1200. He just looks a short course sprinter and from his recent barrier trials he looks to have come back bigger and stronger as a 4 year old. Last preparation he went 6 weeks between runs into a 72+ 1000 and jumped $1.90 in a race that contained Pin Deep, Baby Pearl, Sinful Living, Ginnivan and Kay Tee Why. Just needs an ounce of luck. HAVE A CRACK was $10 into favourite at his WA debut and still won after being slow away. Coming back to 1000m it’s imperative he steps cleanly. KEEP READING was desperately unlucky last week.

Numbers: 2 – 5 – 4 – 1

Suggested Bet – KINGS COURT EACHWAY

Race 3

THAT IS JUSTICE is still really new and raw and comes into this 60+ Graduation at only her second start. Does profile quite similarly to Pistone earlier in the season who was a debut winning 3 year old straight into a Grad and was only run down in the final stride after meeting with plenty of support. Didn’t beat anything of note on debut and there was nothing crazy about the time she ran, but there was something to like about the ease in which she won and the fact she was coming in off only 400m jump outs. WHEELY was a great run at his return and goes from a 3kg claimer to Pike. He’ll be coming hard late. DELZEE is so green. Drawn off the track might just be a blessing in disguise for him to stay out of trouble. GALWAY SHAWL maps to get the run she needs midfield with cover.

Numbers: 12 – 7 – 6 – 3

Suggested Bet – THAT IS JUSTICE EACHWAY

Race 4

ADMIRE ASTRA has returned to racing in great order. She’s a m70 rater as a 17 start C1 so she’s not afforded any favours having accumulated such a high rating from running third in the Ascot 1000 Guineas, second in the Natasha and third in the WA Oaks, but this is another nice stepping stone for her towards some staying races in the near future. Showed versatility last start by parking midfield but in a race without much tempo and with a 3kg claimer back aboard, expect her to roll to the top and get them chasing from the 800. ALASKAN has turned back the clock this campaign. Everything he has done this preparation has been 5L better than his last 18 months. He’s back. VEXATIOUS ROSE is deep into a campaign but continues to perform. STREAMLINED is now a big query on whether he runs any further than 1600?

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 11 – 4

Suggested Bet – ADMIRE ASTRA EACHWAY

Race 5

WESTERN LADY was completely luckless first-up at 1400 when she was stopped in her tracks after trying to take a run between horses that didn’t eventuate. Like the way that she still accelerated late in the race after rebalancing and with a cleaner passage in running here second-up she can make amends at an eachway quote. Her full brother WESTBOUND is the likely favourite and obvious danger after catching the eye at his return. Missed away, settled a mile off them and then sectionally was as good a run as stablemate Truly Loyal. Pike on, drawn a gate, no knock. LINCHPIN is stepping from a Westspeed Platinum 1400 into a 72+ mile. It’s a massive step up in grade but as a 3 year old he did finish within 1L of Playin’ It Sweet and Aberdeen Flyer in a Challenge Stakes. CLASSIC IMPACT rolls to the top with no weight.

Numbers: 13 – 2 – 10 – 9

Suggested Bet – WESTERN LADY EACHWAY

Race 6

CINQUE STELLE was brilliant at her return to racing and took her career record to 5/7. In one of those defeats she returned with atrial fibrillation so really the only loss in her life was over 1000m in a 4 horse race behind Kings Court (who won 4 out of 5 that prep). When she saw daylight, she exploded fresh and this Fillies & Mares Series looks at her mercy. CESSATION is the only speed in the race and is the best suited under the SWP conditions. She has blinkers on first time and will be in front for a long way in this at an eachway quote. ZOURUN RUN is an improving mare who trialled super recently. She loomed up outside of Rope Them In and went straight past him like he was glued to the floor. PLAYIN’ IT SWEET was only three quarters of a length behind Hot And High first-up in the Crawford under SWP conditions and now returns to her race her own sex.

Numbers: 9 – 2 – 7 – 1

Suggested Bet – CINQUE STELLE WIN

Race 7

IMMORTAL BLISS was powering home behind Talkanco in the Prince of Wales and gets a 1kg weight swing and an extra 100m to try and turn the tables. All eyes are going to by on hype horse Bassett Hound but the three deep moving line might just be the place to be in this. Doesn’t look to be much speed for a Group 3 sprint and the swoopers might be right on top of them on straightening. TALKANCO is a belter. She went into her first-up run with improvement up her sleeve, carries the same weight at SWP as she does at WFA and just knows how to win. Impossible to knock her. BASSETT HOUND is the new kid on the block and is super exciting but whether barrier 1 does him any favours only time will tell. Concedes 3.5kg to Devine Belief and 4.5kg to Santanova from their last start outing and they’ll be triple his price? ROPE THEM IN has won first-up in each of his last four preps.

Numbers: 3 – 6 – 10 – 1

Suggested Bet – IMMORTAL BLISS EACHWAY

Race 8

PROFIT MOTIVE is wildly exciting. She won her maiden with the handbrake on and then toyed with them in the Burgess Queen Stakes, pulling away to win by an effortless 2.9L. She has a blistering turn of acceleration ridden midfield and the tactical versatility to settle in front, rack and stack and then sprint clear on straightening. Should be winning this and then it’s either 1) bring on the boys in the Guineas; or 2) 3 weeks into a Group One Northerly. TREASURED LEGACY ran second to her in the Burguess Queen Stakes and expect the most likely outcome is that she runs second to her here in the Champion Fillies. DIXIE DOO brings the alternate form winning a C1 on Melb Cup Day. She’s proven at the mile and can roll forward. IN GOOD NICC is still looking for clear galloping room dating back to her first-up run!

Numbers: 2 – 3 – 7 – 6

Suggested Bet – PROFIT MOTIVE WIN

Same Race Multi – Profit Motive (Win) + Treasured Legacy (Top 2)

We’re just playing a straight bat and using the Same Race Multi to create a fixed odds Exacta bet with Profit Motive to beat Treasured Legacy, the same order in which they finished in the Burgess Queen Stakes. Short + Sweet.

Race 9

AFIREOFGIDGEECOALS was always going to be best suited third-up in the Placid Ark when it returned to Set Weights. Couple of gear changes here: blinkers reinstated (worn once on debut), cross over nose band off, nose band on, and hopefully with the weight relief, the ideal barrier and a genuine tempo to be set by Dawn Dancer there will be no excuses this time around and the cream will rise to the top. ACHY BREAKY trialled up brilliantly in blinkers and then held her own against Beatty in the Belgravia first-up without shades. They’re on for her Grand Final and if she finds the right back to follow from her horrible barrier then she’ll make her presence felt. ONE LAST RESORT is coming from a 3 year old midweeker into a Listed event but does have Pike and does have a gate. LEVATI DIMEZZO was brilliant in the Placid Ark Prelude but can he do it with a 4kg weight swing against him vs Afireofgidgeecoals.

Numbers: 1 – 11 – 10 – 4

Suggested Bet – AFIREOFGIDGEECOALS WIN

Race 10 (Best Bet)

Saving the best for last. Golden ticket into the Railway Stakes on offer and thinking that ROCK FEST is the horse to stand up and announce himself as a genuine threat next weekend. He was outrageously good first-up at 1200m and then really had no right to win second-up under 59.5kg when used as a pinball in the home straight before bursting clear in the shadows. Gets in on the 54kg minimum and has a seriously good turn of foot. WESTERN MISS garnered nationwide social media attention with a win that had to be seen to be believed last start. She has all the attributes of a future star and if Pike and Parnham settle alongside each other it could make for fascinating viewing. AWESOME BOY had the cross-over removed on 6 June 2026 – led and won. Surely they’re going forward. LIKE CLOCKWORK a chance with the right run.

Numbers: 10 – 12 – 6 – 8

Suggested Bet – ROCK FEST WIN – Rock Fest must win to get into the Railway next weekend. Plain and simple. He’s seriously exciting.

Quaddie (Race 7 – 10)

1,3,5,6,10,13,14

2

1,10,11

6,10,12




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