Races

Glenn Ingram’s Saturday Caulfield Preview

Posted on | Posted by Glenn Ingram

Race 1 (Best Value)

Keen to see what RUSSIAN ROCK can produce up in distance at his third start, a promising staying-type, outsprinted at the mile 2nd up, soft draw and only needs a positive Craig Williams to hold a spot to fight out the finish. The rest of the field come through same form line, very little separating an even bunch, if there’s speed on, VALLICE will be hard to hold out, he now wants 2000m. ARAGOG can improve on firmer ground, he and CIGNETTI can take up the running, the latter was ridden for a sit in the Super Impose and ran well, watch for a change in tactics.

Selections: 6,2,3,4

Suggested Bet: RUSSIAN ROCK win

Race 2 (Best Bet)

FRINGILLA enjoyed an uncontested lead with a well-rated ride to win at Geelong over 1700m, this appears a similar set-up with many of her key opposition getting back and looking to run on. Confident she can repeat the win in town stepping up in class. AUTUMN IN GRINZING was disappointing on a heavy in the Edward Manifold, M Zahra aboard. MISS WAITITI showed a good sprint when the gaps opened at Flem wearing blinkers and had the support in betting. Back to a dry and maps in behind again. REFUSE TO CURTSY should come into her own now at this distance range after a maiden win, en route to an Oaks.

Selections: 8,7,2,9

Suggested Bet: FRINGILLA – Steep class rise from a maiden to a Group 3; however, she does map for a soft run in transit and firm track in her favour.

Race 3

The speed is strong. GENTLE STEEL goes forward at a good clip with STARDOM in pursuit. GEES GEES MISTRUTH saves her best for Caulfield, wider draw is a positive for her and good enough if she can lug the 61kg which is a query. The bet in the race is PHOTOGRAPH who was plain first-up, back to the jumpouts since and so she can improve and maps well to be winning. EAGLE EXPRESS maps ok, they both get the drop.

Selections: 9,1,7,6

Suggested Bet: PHOTOGRAPH win

Race 4

Typically even race for the 3YO’s this season. The speed is genuine with a number of key runners going forward. I AM ARIA is tough and honest, she’ll be on or just behind the speed from her draw. STAR OF MACEDON did enough at the short odds at Kilmore, the rise to 1400m is a positive and maps well midfield the outer behind the strong tempo, he was my pick of an even bunch. Godolphin pair ZAMBALES and MILSONS POINT have claims. Interest in the SA visitor YOURWORSTNIGHTMARE loved the way he pinned the ears back to chase at Murray Bridge, that was on soft ground, any rain about helps his chances and forecast not favouring.

Selections: 13,4,3,10

Suggested Bet: STAR OF MACEDON each way

Race 5 (Wildcard)

The map is favourable for the class runner PRIVATE EYE sitting outside the lead of EL ROCKO and should put this field away with a positive Blake Shinn aboard. HERE TO SHOCK could add some pressure to the speed and if he does that is good news for HUGHES who went to a career-best last campaign with Gavin Bedggood and loved his recent jumpout, does need a firm track. ZOU SENSATION lands in behind and is always honest at the 1400m.

Selections: 1,4,6,2

Suggested Bets: PRIVATE EYE & HUGHES

Race 6

They’ll go quick over a 1000m. CAVALRY GIRL is hard to get a line as she is off a 42 day let-up but does map to be right there in the finish, betting best guide to her chances. I’M FOXING resumes for the hot stable of Alex Rae. Given 11 weeks off and showed residual fitness at the Cranbourne jumpouts, draw makes it hard. SWEYNESDAY is a big watch runner fresh up in Australia. Speed on suits and latest trial caught the eye. OAK HILL is an enigma, good enough if you can catch him.

Selections: 2,10,5,4

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 7

Maher holds the strong hand in the race. SAINTLY DANCER rolled and kicked at Flem on wet ground, clearly appreciated the conditions. If they ride her like that again, she’s top pick and the one to beat. Many of her key rivals draw wide here, PLATINUM PEARL can race on-speed and should cross to apply some pressure or take it up. OVER THE BRIDGE is progressive, no idea where she gets to from gate 13. REGAL AMBITION was given a perfect Mick Dee ride to defeat PRETTY BABY at the short odds last start, doubt there’s much between again although PRETTY BABY has a better draw.

Selections: 4,8,2,9

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 8

Ordinary race, again a field of 3YO’s and no standouts. Maher has THREADS an improving colt and last start winner, goes forward with stablemate BARRACKS arriving from Sydney. POCKETFULLOFCASH found the 1100m straight line too much on heavy ground and knocked up, back round a bend out to 1200m, can improve. OVER EXCITED has undeniable talent, will get back and need the speed on. DOUBT TIME will be back there also, he was so impressive on debut, another who can improve 2nd up.

Selections: 3,9,12,6

Suggested Bet: Exotics

Race 9

Even speed in the feature. Sticking with the local hopes, Maher has ZAHRANN a euro import acclimatised to Australian conditions, light weight and a big turn of foot. Drawn for the smother and can sprint quickly. Stablemate SAINT GEORGE arguably unlucky not to beat Zahrann in the Naturalism, barriers the difference. He too set to peak and having an excellent prep. Imports WINE DARK SEA and ENFJAAR take up the running, the forecast suggests we could be on a firm track and positioning important. Rough hopes to OHOPE WINS and ROYAL SUPREMACY.

Selections: 16,12,7,10

Suggested Bet: ZAHRANN 1 x 3

Race 10

Keen on GOLD MEDALLIST to break through fourth-up after she loomed to win and peaked late at Flemington, returning to Caulfield on a dry track and maps to sit midfield behind a good speed. CONCORD CONNIE crabbed it around Mornington first-up, sat wide and tried hard, another tight track to contend with. Happy to watch her go around with bigger targets in mind. GUERITE was green in the winkers at Caulfield, didn’t appreciate horses around her, she could potentially settle a pair or two closer with the draw. BUTTERNUT PRINCESS finds trouble often, she can revert to being ridden quiet and charging late off this expected stronger tempo.

Selections: 9,12,6,11

Suggested Bet: GOLD MEDALLIST 1 x 3

MULTI: R1#6 place, R3#9 place, R5#1 win




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