Juicy/Risky/Double: Buccaneers v Bills

Posted on November 14, 2025November 14, 2025 | Posted by TABtouch

Quick overview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) vs Buffalo Bills (6-3)
Kickoff time (local): Sunday 16/11, 2pm.
Kickoff time (AWST): Monday 17/11, 2am.
Highmark Stadium, Buffalo NY.
Weather Forecast: Rain and snow, 4 degrees.

At the outset this looks to be a much more interesting game than what the markets are saying. Both teams have the same winning record, with an interesting clash of home and away records. Buffalo are 4-1 at home. Tampa Bay are 4-1 away. Buffalo have struggled with rushing defense, Tampa Bay have struggled with pass defense.

Getting into the player stats

For the Buccaneers: apart from their star QB, the offense likes to spread things around. QB1 Baker Mayfield has hit 150+ passing yards every game and 200+ in 7/9 games this season. He’s averaging 1.7 TDs per game.

Rachaad White (RB) has ramped up since round 4, going above 35 yards in every game since.

Emeka Egbuka (WR) broke out of a slump with 115 receiving yards last week. At his best he tallies up 85 yards, but has had 4 games this season with fewer than 60 yards.

Tez Johnson (WR) has hit between 40 and 60 yards in his past 5 games, with a season-high 2 TDs last week against the Patriots.

For the Bills the key matchup of Josh Allen and Running Back James Cook has been the focus this season. In last week’s shock loss to Miami, reigning MVP Allen tried his hardest, notching up 306 yards and 2 TDs in a fourth-quarter surge. On the flipside Cook had this third-quietest game for the year.

Josh Allen (QB) is averaging 2.4 TDs per game, with slightly fewer passing TDs than Mayfield, but his 7 Rushing TDs is tied best in the league. On the passing yards front, Allen has dipped below 200 in 3 games, but his past two games have resulted in 273 and 306 passing yards respectively.

James Cook (RB) has hit the 100+ rushing yards mark in 5 of 9 games this year, and we’d expect him to bounce back with at least 80 this week, particularly with snowy conditions.

Here’s our Juicy/Risky/Double

Juicy

If you’re predicting a solid contest with two evenly matched squads:
Over 41.5 Total Points @ $1.41
Baker Mayfield 200+ Passing Yards @ $1.49
James Cook 80+ Rushing Yards @ $1.85
Josh Allen 250+ Passing & Rushing Yards @ $1.65
MULTI: $5.30

Risky

For Allen and his Bills to go BANG in Buffalo:
Bills -9.5 Line @ $2.60
Over 46.5 Total Points @ $1.75
Josh Allen 225+ Passing Yards @ $1.94
James Cook 80+ Rushing Yards @ $1.85
MULTI: $10

Double

Taking the cautious route through the snow:
Over 34.5 Total Points @ 1.25
Baker Mayfield 175+ Passing Yards @ $1.21
Josh Allen 175+ Passing Yards @ $1.18
James Cook 60+ Rushing Yards @ $1.25
MULTI: $1.96